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Risk/reward ratio explained

If you have ever delved into the world of online trading, chances are you have come across the term “Risk/Reward ratio” in the teachings of trading gurus. Undoubtedly, this ratio plays a pivotal role in enabling traders to attain profitability and effectively navigate uncertainty and volatility.

Unfortunately, many individuals fail to grasp the true essence of this concept. Today, we aim to dispel prevalent myths and misconceptions surrounding the Risk/Reward ratio, while providing practical tips to optimize your trading strategy. Our goal is to simplify this complex topic and equip you with the knowledge necessary to enhance your trading approach.

What is a Risk/Reward Ratio?

This ratio measures the potential downside and upside of a trade or investment. It indicates how many dollars a trader can potentially gain for every dollar risked.

The more risk a trader is willing to undertake, the greater the potential for both rewards and losses. Conversely, a lower tolerance for risk corresponds to reduced potential rewards. Striking a delicate balance between risk and reward is paramount in attaining profitability.

The risk/reward ratio serves as a valuable tool, allowing traders to evaluate the potential profit against the potential loss of a trade. It provides a clear indication of whether a trade is worth pursuing, considering the potential returns in relation to the potential losses.

How is Risk/Reward Ratio Calculated?

Calculating the risk/reward ratio involves determining the potential profit and potential loss associated with a trade. Let’s illustrate this calculation with an example:

Suppose a trader is considering buying shares of XYZ Company at $50 per share. After conducting thorough analysis, the trader believes the stock has the potential to reach $70 per share, representing a profit of $20 per share.

However, the trader also acknowledges the possibility of the stock declining to $40 per share, resulting in a potential loss of $10 per share.

To calculate the risk/reward ratio, divide the potential profit by the potential loss:
Risk/Reward Ratio = 1:Potential Profit / Potential Loss

In this case, the risk/reward ratio would be:
Risk/Reward Ratio = 1:$20 / $10 = 1:2

This means that for every dollar the trader risks, they have the potential to gain two dollars.

Determining the Level of Risk or Reward?

Determining the level of risk or reward when trading can be a challenge, especially for beginner traders. Choosing the wrong reference point can lead to significant losses in the long run. Therefore, understanding how to select the appropriate reference point is crucial before applying the risk/reward concept.

One effective method to identify the risk level is by identifying the support and resistance levels of the trading asset. These levels represent price ranges where the asset has historically experienced rapid bounces. They indicate strong buy or sell pressure at those levels.

To mitigate risk, it is advisable to set your risk level slightly below the support level or above the resistance level. This helps protect against potential losses from fake breakouts.

There are existing tools on TradingView that you can use to identify support and resistant accurately. For example, “TradeDots indicator” or “Support and Resistance indicator”, are two of the most popular models in the market.

Tradedots indicator with dots representing market pivots (Support and Resistance)

Once you have determined the risk level, the next step is to establish your take profit point. This can be done by calculating the ratio between the current price and the risk. For instance, if the current price of ETH is $100 and the support level is at $90, and you have a 1:2 risk/reward ratio, your take profit point would be set at $120.

Risk/Reward Ratio of 1:2 (Shorting position)

The next question you may ask is: How do we define our risk/reward ratio?

What’s the Perfect Risk/Reward Ratio?

There is really no answer to this question. While industry professionals often suggest a 1:2 ratio as suitable for beginners, it ultimately depends on your personal trading style and psychology.

If you are comfortable with higher risk, your risk/reward ratio may be higher than 1. On the other hand, if you prefer a high success rate by scalping short-term profits, your ratio may be less than 1. Both approaches can yield the same expected profit at the end of the day.

Therefore, it is crucial to learn and understand your trading style by keeping a journal of your trades.

Risk/Reward Ratio and the Expectancy Ratio

It is important to evaluate the risk/reward ratio in conjunction with other variables, such as the winning ratio, to create an expected profit value.

The winning ratio is calculated by dividing the number of wins by the total number of trades, while the loss ratio is calculated by dividing the number of losses by the total number of trades.

The expectancy ratio is then calculated by multiplying the reward-to-risk ratio by the win ratio and subtracting the loss ratio:

Expectancy Ratio = (Reward-to-Risk Ratio x Win Ratio) — (Loss Ratio)

An expectancy ratio above zero indicates that, theoretically, the trading strategy could be profitable, while a ratio below zero suggests a potentially losing strategy.

Therefore, it is the reason why traders should not always opt for trades with the highest Risk/Reward ratio. With a larger ratio, traders succumb to a larger volatility and risk in market fluctuation. Therefore, the win-rate or success-rate will be less with a larger ratio gap. What matters at the end of the day is the expectancy ratio.

Tradedots Risk/Reward Telegram Signal Bot

Tradedots has developed a cutting-edge VIP telegram bot designed specifically for traders seeking real-time notifications on their preferred trading assets. This innovative tool enables users to execute profitable trades promptly and effortlessly, without users monitoring the screens all day.

Tradedots Telegram signal bot demo (Real Screen)

By incorporating signals for their favorite trading symbols, Tradedots seamlessly delivers market pivot (long/short) signals directly to users’ Telegram channels. These signals are accompanied by the anticipated Risk/Reward ratio, which is determined based on comprehensive
analysis of previous support and resistance data. Additionally, the bot provides users with valuable market patterns, offering enhanced insights to facilitate a deeper understanding of prevailing market conditions.

With Tradedots, users can confidently navigate any challenges that may arise, allowing them to focus solely on executing profitable buy and sell transactions.

Final thoughts

Mastering the risk/reward ratio is essential for successful trading, but there is no one-size-fits-all approach. Each trader must evaluate their own risk tolerance, trading style, and desired success rate. Striking a balance between risk and reward is essential, as excessively high ratios may lead to increased volatility and lower win rates, so it’s not always profitable taking trades that have a higher potential reward.

Ultimately, traders should continuously learn and adapt their trading strategies, keeping a journal of trades to better understand their own performance and refine their risk/reward ratios accordingly. So, the next time you consider a trade, remember to assess its risk/reward ratio in the right way.

Have fun trading!

About TradeDots

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Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading involves risk, and it is important to conduct thorough research and seek professional guidance before making any investment decisions. Prospective investors are encouraged to perform their own due diligence or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.